Monthly Outlook Mag-25
Gas and power prices declined amid subdued Chinese LNG demand, strong gas supply and favorable renewable generation. However, if global competition for LNG intensifies ahead of the winter season, this would reintroduce upward pressure on prices.
Monthly Outlook Apr-25
Despite strong LNG demand in Europe, gas prices eased due to weak Asian LNG intake. Favorable renewable output also helped lower power prices. Geopolitical turmoil remains an upside risk, ahead of the storage injection season approaching.
TIDE: gli interventi di ARERA su aggregazioni e servizi ancillari
L’Autorità si è espressa sulle unità virtuali, regolandone il perimetro di aggregazione e la definizione dei programmi di immissione. Proposte anche modifiche di dettaglio su alcuni servizi ancillari.
Monthly Outlook Mar-25
Europe drives global LNG demand growth, outpricing Asia in 2025 to attract supplies to rebuild storage and to offset Russian piped gas. Price pressure persists, especially in winter, due to slower global liquefaction capacity growth until 2026.
TIDE: definiti i nuovi contratti per BRP e BSP
La separazione della partecipazione ai mercati dell’energia e dei servizi ancillari comporterà alcune possibili situazioni di asimmetria informativa tra il BRP e il BSP, responsabili rispettivamente della programmazione commerciale e delle nomine
Monthly Outlook Feb-25
High gas storage withdrawals across Europe disrupted the gas market's fragile balance, with reserve levels nearing the imposed targets. With ongoing tensions for the 2025 injection season, short-term price forecasts have been adjusted upward.
FER-X vs Energy Release: una scelta strategica per valorizzare portafogli di impianti rinnovabili
Un’analisi di rischi, opportunità, compatibilità e complementarità implicite nei due meccanismi a supporto di operatori e investitori.
Monthly Outlook Jan-25
The conclusion of the gas transit deal between Ukraine and Russia marks the end of an era for Europe. The prompt expansion of new liquefaction facilities is essential to meet rising European LNG demand and lay the ground for price decrease.
Monthly Outlook Dec-24
Conditions for both European gas and power markets stabilization are unlikely to be met by 2025. As the end of Russian gas approaches, timely development of liquefaction capacity will be key for the long-awaited price normalization from 2026.
Monthly Outlook Nov-24
Global gas market tensions will remain high in 2025, impacting electricity prices despite favorable renewable production. Exit tariffs on Italian borders limit the potential for gas exports to Central and Eastern European countries.
Il mercato dei servizi ancillari inizia ad adeguarsi al TIDE
Da febbraio 2026 si allargherà il perimetro delle unità che possono partecipare al mercato dei servizi, con un’apertura verso le rinnovabili e le batterie. L’aggregazione consentirà di abilitare anche unità di piccola taglia a oggi escluse.
Monthly Outlook Oct-24
Escalating geopolitical tensions prevent gas and power prices from moving lower despite weak fundamentals. The timely regasification capacity development in Europe is crucial to address the anticipated halt of Russian flows via Ukraine in 2025.
Monthly Outlook Aug-24
Unplanned LNG outages and geopolitical uncertainties limit the downside for gas and power prices in the short term. The timely commissioning of new liquefaction capacity is crucial for maintaining market stability, particularly during winters.
Adeguatezza raggiunta con l’asta di capacità 2025?
Con le nuove regole, vantaggiose per gli operatori, i risultati mostrano un sistema ormai adeguato, con uno spazio limitato e competitivo per la capacità nuova.
TIDE: si allungano i tempi, si moltiplicano le proposte
Sbilanciamenti quartorari e macrozone dinamiche dovrebbero ridurre i costi di sbilanciamento, ma l’insieme delle regole non è pronto per gli aggregatori.
Monthly Outlook Jul-24
Before new US and Qatar plants come online, the demand-supply margin is not enough to dismiss the risk of renewed global LNG tensions. Despite record RES, ample imports, and subdued demand, a rebound in gas and power prices cannot be ruled out.
Monthly Outlook Jun-24
Despite a weakening of the electricity market fundamentals, chances for prices to move lower are limited, in wake of logistic costs highly uncertain dynamics and risks for the gas market relating to the global LNG demand-supply close margins.
Le sfide per i DSO nel nuovo paradigma energetico
I DSO dovranno coordinare l’acquisto delle risorse globali ma anche acquistare flessibilità locale interfacciandosi direttamente con i BSP: alcuni progetti pilota sono già stati avviati.
Monthly Outlook May-24
Gas market balance relies on low European demand, as the recovery of Asian LNG demand and concerns over LNG supply contribute to price volatility. High renewables production and increased imports weigh on the competitive demand for CCGTs.
Monthly Outlook Apr-24
Fundamentals suggest stable gas and power markets in 2024. However, geopolitical issues and LNG supply disruptions pose risks that could spike volatility. Low competitive demand for CCGT gas power plants keeps pressure on the CSS.